Alabama Football: 5 Reasons LSU Won’t Beat Alabama

With the big game looming, college football pundits are busy spinning the battle in the bayou as a rematch, a revenge match, and a massacre. The Alabama – LSU game is quickly becoming a real rivalry, drawing national attention each time the teams do battle. However, the last two meetings have had national championship implications despite the fact that neither game lived up to the hype.

This year could be a much more exciting game, for those who prefer quality play on both sides of the ball. When all is said and done, Alabama should prevail – and cover the line – and here’s five reasons LSU won’t win.

Death Valley.  Sure, the nickname sounds ominous and it is certainly more appropriate than ‘The Jungle’ was down at Opelika State during the Tiny Bowden years. The reality is that Alabama wins more often than not at LSU. The two teams have played 76 times. LSU has only won at home nine times.

Night Game.  The last two times LSU has been shut out were night games against Alabama. The Tide won 31-0 in 2002 and won the BCS 21-0 earlier this year. Could Alabama shut out the Tigers twice in the same calendar year?

Points for/against.  Alabama is 11th in the nation in points scored per game (40.6) and first in points allowed per game (8.1). LSU averages 31 points per game and gives up 14.6. LSU lost to Florida, barely beat Texas A&M and squeaked past a dismal Auburn team late. Alabama has trailed for less than a minute the entire season.

Quarterbacks.  AJ McCarron has hit 69 percent of his passes this season for 18 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Mettenberger has hit a respectable 56 percent of his passes but has thrown only seven touchdowns while completing four passes to his opponents.

Focus.  Alabama is disciplined and well-coached. They prepare for every game and are focused. LSU has a great team but they have had a tendency to be ill-prepared at times. Observe LSU fans in this video performing a ‘flash mob’ dance routine earlier today. The event was planned by the athletic department. You can bet Alabama was studying for the game and not scheduling line dances.

Alabama leads the series 46-25-5, but the game isn’t played on paper. LSU has a chance at the upset this year. Like a bride left standing at the altar, they hate Coach Saban for returning to the SEC in Tuscaloosa instead of Baton Rouge. They have an amazing 36-1 record at night at home under Les Miles. Nevertheless, they shouldn’t beat Alabama this season without a total collapse of the Bama game plan. Never fear, Tiger faithful, corndogs make great comfort food.

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