Alabama Football: Scoring on every possession against LSU

Alabama Football is going to score a lot of points on Saturday night. The LSU defense is weakened by injuries and astonishingly thin and inexperienced. According to WynnBET, the over/under for the game is 65.5 points. Alabama Football could get 50 of those points. No matter what wrinkles LSU tries to stop the Crimson Tide offense, the Bengal Tigers secondary will be vulnerable to being shredded.

On Wednesday, Nick Saban spoke about creating offensive balance.

"I think the No. 1 thing you want to do is take advantage of what the defense gives you, rather than [having] some number that you’re trying to get to."

LSU might try dropping seven or eight into a zone coverage trying to leave few, throwing windows for Bryce Young. If they do, the Alabama Crimson Tide will just carve them up on the ground. If LSU plays with a more traditional defensive alignment, Bryce Young will light up a secondary, missing five of six previous starters used in dime sets.

Scheme will not help the LSU defense. For any LSU scheme to have success, two things must frequently occur. One is the Crimson Tide offense stopping itself with penalties and poor execution, such as missed blocks and dropped passes. The other thing is LSU must confuse the Tide offense, showing one thing pre-snap and quickly doing something different after the snap. LSU does not have much choice, but trying to confuse Bryce Young is not a winning strategy.

The Bengal Tigers will need to match the Crimson Tide score for score. This season’s performance gives no indication LSU’s offense can be that productive.

How dominant will the Alabama Football offense be?

This season the Alabama Crimson Tide has had 97 possessions. It has scored a touchdown on 48 of those possessions for a success rate of 49.4 percent. Add the 10 made field goals and the success rate climbs to 59.7 percent. Given LSU’s depleted defense, those percentages should be higher Saturday night.

How high can the Tide’s scoring proficiency be against the Bengal Tigers? College football history shows 100 percent is achievable. In 2010, Wisconsin beat the Indiana Hoosiers 83-20. The Badgers scored on every one of 13 possessions.

The Crimson Tide is not likely to replicate such a feat Saturday night. Even a weakened LSU  defense is better than the Hoosiers defense was in 2010.

As much as Alabama football fans and Crimson Tide players want more payback for the 2019 loss, Nick Saban thinks otherwise. Coming off a bye, Saban will expect a marked improvement in all the Tide’s (few) areas of weakness.