Going back to 1983, Alabama has the most first-year starting quarterbacks who won a National Championship. According to ChatGPT, beginning with Bernie Kosar at Miami in 1983, 16 first-year starting quarterbacks have won national championships. Four of the 16 were Crimson Tide quarterbacks. All four are from Nick Saban's Alabama Football Era.
Alabama's quarterback quartet is Greg McElroy in 2009, A.J. McCarron in 2011(with a repeat in 2012), Jake Coker in 2015, and Mac Jones in 2020. Never reason with AI is practical advice, but Alabama's number should be three, not four. After Tua Tagovailoa was injured in October 2019, Mac Jones started four games. ChatGPT does not include Indiana's Fernando Mendoza and Ohio State's Will Howard because they were starters with previous programs. For the same reason, the total number since 1983 should be 15 quarterbacks, excluding Mac Jones.
Alabama football fans believe Keelon Russell has more than enough talent to match McElroy, McCarron, and Coker and lead the Crimson Tide to a national championship.
Keelon Russell as QB1 has no impact on Alabama rankings
So far, no computer model has raised the Crimson Tide's ranking after Keelon was named Alabama's starter. The Massey Ratings still projects Bama at No. 7. Kenneth Massey also provides a matrix of 25 other ranking sources. Two sources place the Crimson Tide at No. 6. Most of the models rate Alabama between No. 11 and No. 19. The lowest is Congrove's Power Ranking, which ranks Alabama No. 22.
ESPN's FPI still has the Crimson Tide at No. 8, with a 3.8% probability of winning the National Championship. Based on my recent Bold Predictions, the Crimson Tide's probability should (or could) increase during the season. Perhaps the best assessment of the Crimson Tide's prospects is offered by Katie Windham, who defines Alabama's floor as 7-5 and its ceiling as "it's not unreasonable to think it (Alabama) could put the pieces together to win a national championship this season."
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