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An early look at the 2026 SEC Football 'have' and 'have not' teams

Assuming SEC Football will be equally split between 'have' and 'have not' teams, which 'have' is most likely to falter?
Brianna Paciorka/News Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

A discussion of SEC football 'have' and 'have nots' is tied to roster talent. But it is more specifically about which teams have a chance to make the CFB Playoff field, and those with slim or nearly non-existent chances.

All offseason rankings are wildly subjective. At best, they are clues about how teams can be expected to perform. USA Today recently published a post-spring ranking of the 138 FBS teams. Eight SEC football teams were ranked from No. 3 nationally to No. 18. They are the SEC's 'have' teams. The SEC's eight 'have not' teams were ranked from No. 35 to No. 109.

SEC Football Post-Spring USA Today Rankings

  • Texas Longhorns - No. 3
  • Georgia Bulldogs - No. 4
  • Oklahoma Sooners - No. 7
  • Texas A&M Aggies - No. 9
  • Alabama Crimson Tide - No. 12
  • Ole Miss Rebels - No. 13
  • LSU Bengal Tigers - No. 16
  • Tennessee Vols - No. 18
  • Vanderbilt Commodores - No. 35
  • Florida Gators - No. 38
  • Missouri Tigers - No. 43
  • Mississippi State Bulldogs - No. 52
  • South Carolina Gamecocks - No. 55
  • Auburn Tigers - No. 61
  • Kentucky Wildcats - No. 94
  • Arkansas Razorbacks - No. 109

Bill Connelly's first and current SP+ rankings were published before the end of spring practices. They are quite different for several SEC football teams. Even so, the SP+ has the Alabama Crimson Tide as the SEC's fifth-best team, just as the USA Today rankings.

Both rankings have Florida State ranked higher than most SEC teams. Alabama's third-game opponent is ranked No. 29 by USA Today and No. 35 by the SP+.

So what SEC football team is most likely to slip to a have not? My take is the Tennessee Vols. Jim Knowles may improve the Tennessee defense considerably but doing so will take time. A much-improved Vols defense may not be evident before the 2027 season. Josh Huepel does not have a proven quarterback. He has talent in George McIntyre and Faizon Brandon, but the position will have growing pains. The Vols can be a dangerous team, but are unlikely to be a Playoff contender.

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