Alabama Crimson Tide fans are tired of experts downplaying the Tide. One credible computer model provides reasons for bold optimism. How about Alabama going 11-1 in the regular season, or possibly 12-0? That is what Kenneth Massey's model projects.
Massey began developing his models while an undergraduate student at Bluefield College. He continued the development as a graduate student at Virginia Tech. From 1999 through 2013, his computer rankings were part of the BCS formula.
In recent years, Massey's game predictions have not been ranked at the top, but with top predictors getting around 74% correct, the Massey Ratings were not far behind last season at over 71%.
Massey Alabama Crimson Tide Game Projections
Massey projects the Crimson Tide will win all five of its 2026 road games. Alabama is favored in 11 games in the 12-game regular-season slate. The Crimson Tide is a slight underdog in one game.
Note: Home team in bold font
- Alabama 37 - East Carolina 14, with a 92% probability of a Bama win
- Alabama 31 - Kentucky 21 - 76% probability
- Alabama 34- Florida State 20 - 82% probability
- Alabama 32 - South Carolina 19 - 81% probability
- Alabama 35 - Mississippi State 23 - 78% probability
- Georgia 28 - Alabama 27 - 49% probability of a Bama win
- Alabama 30 - Tennessee 28 - 53% probability
- Alabama 31 - Texas A&M 25 - 68% probability
- Alabama 27 - LSU 21 - 64% probability
- Alabama 31 - Vanderbilt 26 - 62% probability
- Alabama 48 - Chattanooga 3 - 100% probabilty
- Alabama 34 - Aubun 21 - 80% probability
Based on the Massey model, the Crimson Tide should be in a good position to win 10 games, with two toss-up games against the Georgia Bulldogs and the Tennessee Vols.
Another example of how bullish the Massey model is about the Alabama Crimson Tide is its No. 7 national ranking. Alabama is the third-highest-ranked SEC team, behind Georgia and Ole Miss, No. 5 and No. 6.
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