SEC Tournament bracket prediction and Alabama basketball's path to the SEC Championship Game

Predicting SEC Tournament seeding and Alabama's path to its third SEC Championship Game in six seasons
Randy Sartin-Imagn Images
Randy Sartin-Imagn Images | Randy Sartin-Imagn Images

Odds favor the Alabama Crimson Tide becoming a 2-seed in the SEC Tournament. Florida will be the 1-seed. With 2 SEC regular-season games remaining, there could be nine or more teams with records that require tiebreakers to determine seeding.

Assuming Alabama Basketball beats Georgia and Auburn, the Crimson Tide will finish as a 14-4, 2-seed. The 3-seed will likely be Arkansas (13-5), and the 4-seed, Tennessee (12-6). A clump of seven or eight-loss teams will follow, made up of Missouri, Kentucky, Texas, Vanderbilt, and Texas A&M. Texas might slide to a 9-loss level with Georgia. The rest of the SEC will have double-digit conference losses, from 11 to 15.

Either South Carolina or LSU will be the 16-seed. Both will play on Wednesday in Nashville. My predictions are that the other Wednesday participants will be 9-seed Texas A&M, 10-seed Georgia, 11-seed Auburn, 12-seed Mississippi State, 13-seed Oklahoma, 14-seed Ole Miss; followed by either LSU or South Carolina as the 15-seed.

Alabama Crimson Tide Predicted SEC Tournament Schedule

That seeding would have the Alabama Crimson Tide playing a Friday Quarterfinal game against the winner of a Thursday Texas game vs. the winner of Georgia vs. LSU or South Carolina. An Alabama win would likely mean advancing to play Arkansas on Saturday.

Alabama's Friday game would be at 6:00 PM CST in Bridgestone Arena. The semi-final matchup I'm predicting is the Crimson Tide and the Razorbacks at 2:30 PM CST on Saturday.

A Saturday Alabama win would almost certainly mean advancing to play the Florida Gators in the SEC Championship Game. Winning the SEC Championship would matter to Nate Oats and the Alabama players. Perhaps that game would not mean as much to the Gators, given that Florida won a much bigger championship last season. The Gators would have added incentive anyway. Currently projected as a 2-seed, Florida, David Cobb and Jacob Fetner explained, is a threat to knock UConn off the 1-seed line. Gaining a 1-seed probably requires the Gators to march through the SEC Tournament unscathed.

Alabama has won two of the most recent five SEC Championship Games, with Florida, Auburn, and Tennessee winning once each.

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